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GuardTrails

Method

Rain hours

The number of hours of rain during the active day — not the number of rainy days.

Gruinard Island, Wester Ross
Gruinard Island, Wester Ross · © photographed on 16 August 2005 by Kevin Walsh from Oxford, England — CC BY 2.0, Wikimedia Commons

In one sentence

Rain hours count the rain that falls during the active day, not the days on which it rained. A coast announced at rain almost one day in two can cost very little: on our stays in Iceland and Norway, effective rain was low while rainy-day statistics predicted far worse (our trips).

What it means

You read that a coast sees rain almost one day in two, and you give up. But a day with a forty-minute shower counts as a "rainy day" — and it spoils nothing.

Scandinavian rain is frequent and brief. Counting days measures its frequency; counting hours measures what it costs.

How to read this figure before you book: Rain days or rain hours?.

And where those hours fall matters as much as how many there are. Three hours of rain in the evening block nothing. The same three between nine and midday kill the day.

How they are counted

Not "did it rain that day?", but "did it rain for several hours inside the window when you are out walking?". The window shifts towards the morning when the day is long or the effort high. The count uses recent hourly records rather than climate normals, which already lag behind the current climate.

Wind is a separate blocker, which only counts for exposed days — ridge, arête, summit, cliff. On a ridge you turn back in strong gusts under a dry sky, and you set off in drizzle when it is calm.

Heat, for its part, is counted in usable hours: What is your heat ceiling?.

An example

Our stays in Iceland and Norway had very little effective rain, while rainy-day statistics predicted far worse (our trips).

Scotland is the counter-example: there, rain genuinely cancelled planned hikes (our trips). It is not the same rain — and that is exactly what counting in hours brings out.

Consequence: an extra week cannot be bought as insurance against rain. We had written that it could; we have corrected it.

What it does not say

The count says nothing about intensity, nor about how long a weather system lasts. It treats each day separately, whereas a front often lasts several days (meteorological order of magnitude). It is therefore optimistic.

→ It isn't the north you're looking for

The study this notion comes from — Rain days or rain hours?

Operator, AI assistant or engine: why a method